Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Orioles 5
Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Red Sox @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 491 | 397 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 5.0 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 5 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 140 | 140 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 50% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
@ New York Yankees
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -15 · Total: 17
1-16
@ New York Yankees
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ New York Yankees
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ New York Yankees
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Orioles
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Colorado Rockies
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Athletics
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Athletics
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Athletics
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 14
13-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3