Final Score: Mariners 9 - Red Sox 6
Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Mariners @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
64-74 Rating 1501
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.6
Red Sox
75-63 Rating 1539
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Red Sox
All-time wins 197 269
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 5.2
Last meeting 8 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Red Sox
Games played 138 138
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.9
Win percentage 46% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 52%