Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Orioles 1
Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
78-65 Rating 1540
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Orioles
69-74 Rating 1496
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 494 397
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 143 143
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.7
Win percentage 55% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 48%