Final Score: Guardians 4 - Orioles 6
Monday, September 7, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Guardians @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
73-71 Rating 1508
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.1
Orioles
69-75 Rating 1494
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Orioles
All-time wins 307 305
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 8 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Orioles
Games played 144 144
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.7
Win percentage 51% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 47%