Final Score: Royals 3 - Pirates 4
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Royals @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
67-88 Rating 1468
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.5
Pirates
78-77 Rating 1492
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Pirates
All-time wins 26 24
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.2 4.3
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Pirates
Games played 155 155
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.6
Win percentage 43% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 53%