Final Score: Nationals 9 - Cardinals 1
Friday, September 18, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET

Nationals @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
71-82 Rating 1455
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.6
Cardinals
75-78 Rating 1487
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Cardinals
All-time wins 321 349
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.2
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Cardinals
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.6
Win percentage 46% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 47%