Final Score: Phillies 0 - Nationals 0
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
61-53 Rating 1543
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Nationals
55-60 Rating 1460
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 512 463
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 114 115
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.2
Win percentage 54% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 40%