Final Score: Phillies 3 - Nationals 0
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Phillies @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 513 | 465 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 6 |
| Stat | Phillies | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 151 | 152 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 5.1 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 55% | 48% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Houston Astros
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Houston Astros
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Houston Astros
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Nationals
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5