Final Score: Phillies 9 - Braves 4
Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
82-67 Rating 1549
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.1
Braves
88-61 Rating 1541
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Braves
All-time wins 403 445
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.6
Last meeting 2 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Braves
Games played 149 149
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.8
Win percentage 55% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 66%