Final Score: Nationals 8 - Cardinals 5
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Nationals @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
72-82 Rating 1457
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.5
Cardinals
75-79 Rating 1485
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Cardinals
All-time wins 322 349
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.2
Last meeting 9 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Cardinals
Games played 154 154
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.6
Win percentage 47% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 47%