Pirates @ Tigers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Pirates 7 - Tigers 8
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Pittsburgh
Pirates
81-78 Rating 1495
Form: WWWLW
7 – 8
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Detroit Tigers +0.1
Detroit
Tigers
74-85 Rating 1485
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Tigers
All-time wins 51 44
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Tigers
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.0
Win percentage 51% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 51%