Pirates @ Tigers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Pirates 3 - Tigers 4
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET
Pittsburgh
Pirates
81-79 Rating 1493
Form: WWLWL
3 – 4
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Detroit Tigers +0.2
Detroit
Tigers
75-85 Rating 1486
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Tigers
All-time wins 51 45
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 7 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Tigers
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.0
Win percentage 51% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 52%