Final Score: Nationals 3 - Tigers 1
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Tigers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
73-84 Rating 1456
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Detroit Tigers +0.6
Tigers
74-83 Rating 1489
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Tigers
All-time wins 16 16
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 5.3
Last meeting 2 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Tigers
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.0
Win percentage 46% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 53%