Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Mets 6 - Nationals 7
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
New York
Mets
73-86 Rating 1495
Form: WLWWL
6 – 7
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.1
Washington
Nationals
75-84 Rating 1460
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 492 480
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.0
Win percentage 46% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 47%