Final Score: Orioles 2 - Mets 1
Monday, September 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Orioles @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
72-78 Rating 1494
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.3
Mets
69-80 Rating 1498
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Mets
All-time wins 23 35
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.9
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Mets
Games played 150 149
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.5
Win percentage 48% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 46%