Final Score: Mets 10 - Rays 4
Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Mets @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 17 | 24 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 6 |
| Stat | Mets | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 139 | 138 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 66% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Houston Astros
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Houston Astros
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Houston Astros
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
Rays
vs New York Mets
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs New York Mets
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Detroit Tigers
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3