Final Score: Orioles 7 - Mets 1
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Orioles @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 25 | 35 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 5 |
| Stat | Orioles | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 152 | 151 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 45% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ New York Mets
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ New York Mets
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
Mets
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ New York Yankees
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ New York Yankees
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 14
12-2
@ New York Yankees
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 29
15-14
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9