Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Mets 7 - Nationals 1
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 12:40 PM ET
New York
Mets
73-87 Rating 1493
Form: LWWLL
7 – 1
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.1
Washington
Nationals
76-84 Rating 1462
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 492 481
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.0
Win percentage 46% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 48%