Final Score: Phillies 3 - Mets 6
Friday, September 18, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
85-68 Rating 1552
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Mets
69-84 Rating 1490
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 483 498
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.5
Win percentage 56% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 44%