Patriots @ Jaguars
Patriots
Model Probability
Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars +2.0
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | 3–20 | Patriots +17 | Patriots +5.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 10–13 | Seahawks +3 | Seahawks +6.8 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots Jets | 70-44-2 | 61.4% | -1.5 | 116 |
| Patriots Dolphins | 54-60-2 | 47.4% | -5.3 | 116 |
| Patriots Bills | 68-44-2 | 60.7% | +5.4 | 114 |
| Patriots Colts | 53-32 | 62.4% | +6.6 | 85 |
| Patriots Broncos | 15-23-1 | 39.5% | -4.5 | 39 |