Patriots @ Dolphins

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Patriots 24 - Dolphins 19
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
New England
Patriots
4-3 Rating 1599
Form: LWWWL
24 – 19
Model Probability
69%
31%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +4.4
Miami
Dolphins
1-5 Rating 1371
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Dolphins
All-time wins 54 60
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 21.6 21.0
Last meeting 38 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Dolphins
Games played 7 6
Avg points scored 22.9 16.3
Avg points conceded 20.4 26.2
Win percentage 57% 17%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 0%