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Matchups Teams Power Ratings Playoff Chances Simulator Strength of Schedule Standings Results Schedule Head-to-Head Archive
Final Score: Chiefs 0 - Dolphins 0
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Chiefs @ Dolphins

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Chiefs
2-0 Rating 1567
Form: LLLWW
Chiefs
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Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Kansas City Chiefs +2.2
Dolphins
0-2 Rating 1400
Form: LWLLL
Dolphins
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Full Playoff Chances

Chiefs

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionConferenceTitle
Now 73%46%9%4%
If Win 82%53%11%5%
If Lose 60%33%4%2%

Dolphins

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionConferenceTitle
Now 7%1%<1%<1%
If Win 13%2%<1%<1%
If Lose 3%1%<1%<1%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Stat Chiefs Dolphins
All-time wins 11 16
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average points 19.3 21.7
Last meeting 26 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Chiefs Dolphins
Games played 2 2
Avg points scored 32.0 13.0
Avg points conceded 20.0 31.0
Win percentage 100% 0%
Away win % / Home win % - -

Recent Results

Chiefs

vs Indianapolis Colts
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 63
33-30
vs Denver Broncos
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 41
31-10
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 26
12-14
vs Denver Broncos
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 33
13-20
@ Tennessee Titans
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 35
9-26
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 29
13-16
vs Houston Texans
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 30
10-20
@ Dallas Cowboys
Nov 27, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Indianapolis Colts
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Denver Broncos
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 41
19-22

Dolphins

@ San Francisco 49ers
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: -22 · Total: 48
13-35
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 40
13-27
@ New England Patriots
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -28 · Total: 48
10-38
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 37
20-17
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 66
21-45
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 43
15-28
@ New York Jets
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 44
34-10
vs New Orleans Saints
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 38
21-17
vs Washington Commanders
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs Buffalo Bills
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 43
30-13