Chiefs @ Dolphins

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Chiefs 24 - Dolphins 10
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Kansas City
Chiefs
2-0 Rating 1567
Form: LLLWW
24 – 10
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Kansas City Chiefs +2.3
Miami
Dolphins
0-2 Rating 1400
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Chiefs Dolphins
All-time wins 11 16
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average points 19.3 21.7
Last meeting 26 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Chiefs Dolphins
Games played 2 2
Avg points scored 32.0 13.0
Avg points conceded 20.0 31.0
Win percentage 100% 0%
Away win % / Home win % - -