Final Score: Chiefs 28 - Cowboys 31
Thursday, November 27, 2025 at 4:30 PM ET
Chiefs @ Cowboys
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Chiefs | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 20.8 | 24.6 |
| Last meeting | 19 | 9 |
| Stat | Chiefs | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 11 | 11 |
| Avg points scored | 25.2 | 29.1 |
| Avg points conceded | 18.3 | 28.5 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 45% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 20% | 60% |
Recent Results
Chiefs
vs Indianapolis Colts
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Denver Broncos
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 41
19-22
@ Buffalo Bills
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 49
21-28
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 27, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 35
28-7
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 31
31-0
vs Detroit Lions
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 47
30-17
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Oct 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 57
37-20
@ New York Giants
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 31
22-9
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
Cowboys
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 45
24-21
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 49
33-16
vs Arizona Cardinals
Nov 3, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 44
17-27
@ Denver Broncos
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -20 · Total: 68
24-44
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 66
44-22
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 57
27-30
@ New York Jets
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 59
37-22
vs Green Bay Packers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 80
40-40
@ Chicago Bears
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 45
14-31
vs New York Giants
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 77
40-37