Final Score: Cowboys 30 - Lions 44
Thursday, December 4, 2025 at 8:15 PM ET
Cowboys @ Lions
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cowboys | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 17 | 12 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 24.4 | 20.3 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 47 |
| Stat | Cowboys | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 12 | 12 |
| Avg points scored | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 28.5 | 22.8 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 67% |
Recent Results
Cowboys
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 59
31-28
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 45
24-21
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 49
33-16
vs Arizona Cardinals
Nov 3, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 44
17-27
@ Denver Broncos
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -20 · Total: 68
24-44
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 66
44-22
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 57
27-30
@ New York Jets
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 59
37-22
vs Green Bay Packers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 80
40-40
@ Chicago Bears
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 45
14-31
Lions
vs Green Bay Packers
Nov 27, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 55
24-31
vs New York Giants
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 25
9-16
@ Washington Commanders
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 66
44-22
vs Minnesota Vikings
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 33
24-9
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 47
17-30
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 61
37-24
vs Cleveland Browns
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 44
34-10
@ Baltimore Ravens
Sep 22, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 68
38-30