Final Score: Cowboys 14 - Bears 31
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 4:25 PM ET
Cowboys @ Bears
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cowboys | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 14 | 10 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 22.3 | 20.4 |
| Last meeting | 49 | 29 |
| Stat | Cowboys | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 2 | 2 |
| Avg points scored | 30.0 | 22.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 30.5 | 39.5 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 0% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 0% | 0% |
Recent Results
Cowboys
vs New York Giants
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 77
40-37
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 4, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 44
20-24
vs Washington Commanders
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 42
19-23
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: -34 · Total: 48
7-41
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +2 · Total: 50
26-24
@ Carolina Panthers
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: +16 · Total: 44
30-14
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 9, 2024 · Margin: -7 · Total: 47
20-27
vs New York Giants
Nov 28, 2024 · Margin: +7 · Total: 47
27-20
@ Washington Commanders
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: +8 · Total: 60
34-26
vs Houston Texans
Nov 18, 2024 · Margin: -24 · Total: 44
10-34
Bears
@ Detroit Lions
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -31 · Total: 73
21-52
vs Minnesota Vikings
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
@ Green Bay Packers
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 46
24-22
vs Seattle Seahawks
Dec 26, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Detroit Lions
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: -17 · Total: 51
17-34
@ Minnesota Vikings
Dec 16, 2024 · Margin: -18 · Total: 42
12-30
@ San Francisco 49ers
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: -25 · Total: 51
13-38
@ Detroit Lions
Nov 28, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs Minnesota Vikings
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 57
27-30
vs Green Bay Packers
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 39
19-20