Final Score: Chiefs 21 - Bills 28
Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 4:25 PM ET
Chiefs @ Bills
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Chiefs | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 17 | 21 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 19.3 | 22.6 |
| Last meeting | 32 | 29 |
| Stat | Chiefs | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 8 | 7 |
| Avg points scored | 26.8 | 29.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 16.4 | 20.9 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 71% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 75% |
Recent Results
Chiefs
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 27, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 35
28-7
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 31
31-0
vs Detroit Lions
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 47
30-17
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Oct 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 57
37-20
@ New York Giants
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 31
22-9
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 48
21-27
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Feb 9, 2025 · Margin: -18 · Total: 62
22-40
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 61
32-29
Bills
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 49
40-9
@ Atlanta Falcons
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 38
14-24
vs New England Patriots
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs New Orleans Saints
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 50
31-19
vs Miami Dolphins
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 52
31-21
@ New York Jets
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 40
30-10
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 81
41-40
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 61
29-32
vs Baltimore Ravens
Jan 19, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 52
27-25
vs Denver Broncos
Jan 12, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 38
31-7