Final Score: Chiefs 19 - Broncos 22
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 4:25 PM ET
Chiefs @ Broncos
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Chiefs | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 54 | 56 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 20.7 | 21.1 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 38 |
| Stat | Chiefs | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 9 | 10 |
| Avg points scored | 26.1 | 23.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 17.7 | 17.3 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 80% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 25% | 100% |
Recent Results
Chiefs
@ Buffalo Bills
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 49
21-28
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 27, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 35
28-7
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 31
31-0
vs Detroit Lions
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 47
30-17
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Oct 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 57
37-20
@ New York Giants
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 31
22-9
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 48
21-27
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Feb 9, 2025 · Margin: -18 · Total: 62
22-40
Broncos
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
@ Houston Texans
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 33
18-15
vs Dallas Cowboys
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 68
44-24
vs New York Giants
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 65
33-32
vs New York Jets
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 24
13-11
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 38
21-17
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Sep 29, 2025 · Margin: +25 · Total: 31
28-3
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
@ Indianapolis Colts
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 57
28-29
vs Tennessee Titans
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 32
20-12