Final Score: Commanders 7 - Chiefs 28
Monday, October 27, 2025 at 8:15 PM ET
Commanders @ Chiefs
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Commanders | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 1 | 10 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average points | 16.3 | 29.4 |
| Last meeting | 13 | 31 |
| Stat | Commanders | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 7 | 7 |
| Avg points scored | 25.7 | 26.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 24.3 | 17.7 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 25% | 75% |
Recent Results
Commanders
@ Dallas Cowboys
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 66
22-44
vs Chicago Bears
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 49
24-25
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 37
27-10
@ Atlanta Falcons
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 61
27-34
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 65
41-24
@ Green Bay Packers
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 45
18-27
vs New York Giants
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 27
21-6
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: -32 · Total: 78
23-55
@ Detroit Lions
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 76
45-31
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jan 12, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
Chiefs
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 31
31-0
vs Detroit Lions
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 47
30-17
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Oct 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 57
37-20
@ New York Giants
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 31
22-9
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 48
21-27
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Feb 9, 2025 · Margin: -18 · Total: 62
22-40
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 61
32-29
vs Houston Texans
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 37
23-14