Final Score: Commanders 23 - Buccaneers 20
Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 8:00 PM ET
Commanders @ Buccaneers
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.6
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Commanders | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 13 | 13 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 18.6 | 19.8 |
| Last meeting | 20 | 37 |
| Stat | Commanders | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 17 | 17 |
| Avg points scored | 28.5 | 29.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 23.0 | 22.6 |
| Win percentage | 71% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 56% |
Recent Results
Commanders
@ Dallas Cowboys
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 42
23-19
vs Atlanta Falcons
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 54
30-24
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 69
36-33
@ New Orleans Saints
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: +1 · Total: 39
20-19
vs Tennessee Titans
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: +23 · Total: 61
42-19
vs Dallas Cowboys
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: -8 · Total: 60
26-34
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 14, 2024 · Margin: -8 · Total: 44
18-26
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 10, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 55
27-28
@ New York Giants
Nov 3, 2024 · Margin: +5 · Total: 49
27-22
vs Chicago Bears
Oct 27, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 33
18-15
Buccaneers
vs New Orleans Saints
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 46
27-19
vs Carolina Panthers
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +34 · Total: 62
48-14
@ Dallas Cowboys
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: -2 · Total: 50
24-26
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: +23 · Total: 57
40-17
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: +15 · Total: 41
28-13
@ Carolina Panthers
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 49
26-23
@ New York Giants
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: +23 · Total: 37
30-7
vs San Francisco 49ers
Nov 10, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 4, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 54
24-30
vs Atlanta Falcons
Oct 27, 2024 · Margin: -5 · Total: 57
26-31