Final Score: Dolphins 21 - Bills 31
Thursday, September 18, 2025 at 8:15 PM ET
Dolphins @ Bills
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Dolphins | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 59 | 56 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average points | 21.7 | 21.0 |
| Last meeting | 27 | 30 |
| Stat | Dolphins | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 2 | 2 |
| Avg points scored | 17.5 | 35.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 33.0 | 25.0 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 100% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 0% | 100% |
Recent Results
Dolphins
vs New England Patriots
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 60
27-33
@ Indianapolis Colts
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -25 · Total: 41
8-33
@ New York Jets
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 52
20-32
@ Cleveland Browns
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +17 · Total: 23
20-3
vs San Francisco 49ers
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +12 · Total: 46
29-17
@ Houston Texans
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -8 · Total: 32
12-20
vs New York Jets
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 58
32-26
@ Green Bay Packers
Nov 28, 2024 · Margin: -13 · Total: 47
17-30
vs New England Patriots
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: +19 · Total: 49
34-15
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: +15 · Total: 53
34-19
Bills
@ New York Jets
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 40
30-10
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 81
41-40
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 61
29-32
vs Baltimore Ravens
Jan 19, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 52
27-25
vs Denver Broncos
Jan 12, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 38
31-7
@ New England Patriots
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 39
16-23
vs New York Jets
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +26 · Total: 54
40-14
vs New England Patriots
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 45
24-21
@ Detroit Lions
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 90
48-42
@ Los Angeles Rams
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: -2 · Total: 86
42-44