Final Score: Bills 16 - Patriots 23
Sunday, January 5, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Bills @ Patriots
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bills | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 43 | 66 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 19.0 | 22.3 |
| Last meeting | 24 | 21 |
| Stat | Bills | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 16 |
| Avg points scored | 31.8 | 16.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 21.6 | 25.1 |
| Win percentage | 81% | 19% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 14% |
Recent Results
Bills
vs New York Jets
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +26 · Total: 54
40-14
vs New England Patriots
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 45
24-21
@ Detroit Lions
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 90
48-42
@ Los Angeles Rams
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: -2 · Total: 86
42-44
vs San Francisco 49ers
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: +25 · Total: 45
35-10
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: +9 · Total: 51
30-21
@ Indianapolis Colts
Nov 10, 2024 · Margin: +10 · Total: 50
30-20
vs Miami Dolphins
Nov 3, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 57
30-27
@ Seattle Seahawks
Oct 27, 2024 · Margin: +21 · Total: 41
31-10
vs Tennessee Titans
Oct 20, 2024 · Margin: +24 · Total: 44
34-10
Patriots
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 28, 2024 · Margin: -33 · Total: 47
7-40
@ Buffalo Bills
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 45
21-24
@ Arizona Cardinals
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -13 · Total: 47
17-30
vs Indianapolis Colts
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 49
24-25
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: -19 · Total: 49
15-34
vs Los Angeles Rams
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 50
22-28
@ Chicago Bears
Nov 10, 2024 · Margin: +16 · Total: 22
19-3
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 3, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
vs New York Jets
Oct 27, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 47
25-22
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Oct 20, 2024 · Margin: -16 · Total: 48
16-32