Final Score: Patriots 21 - Bills 24
Sunday, December 22, 2024 at 4:25 PM ET
Patriots @ Bills
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 66 | 42 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 22.3 | 19.0 |
| Last meeting | 21 | 27 |
| Stat | Patriots | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 14 | 14 |
| Avg points scored | 17.0 | 31.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 24.1 | 22.1 |
| Win percentage | 21% | 79% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 25% | 100% |
Recent Results
Patriots
@ Arizona Cardinals
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -13 · Total: 47
17-30
vs Indianapolis Colts
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 49
24-25
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: -19 · Total: 49
15-34
vs Los Angeles Rams
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 50
22-28
@ Chicago Bears
Nov 10, 2024 · Margin: +16 · Total: 22
19-3
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 3, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
vs New York Jets
Oct 27, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 47
25-22
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Oct 20, 2024 · Margin: -16 · Total: 48
16-32
vs Houston Texans
Oct 13, 2024 · Margin: -20 · Total: 62
21-41
vs Miami Dolphins
Oct 6, 2024 · Margin: -5 · Total: 25
10-15
Bills
@ Detroit Lions
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 90
48-42
@ Los Angeles Rams
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: -2 · Total: 86
42-44
vs San Francisco 49ers
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: +25 · Total: 45
35-10
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: +9 · Total: 51
30-21
@ Indianapolis Colts
Nov 10, 2024 · Margin: +10 · Total: 50
30-20
vs Miami Dolphins
Nov 3, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 57
30-27
@ Seattle Seahawks
Oct 27, 2024 · Margin: +21 · Total: 41
31-10
vs Tennessee Titans
Oct 20, 2024 · Margin: +24 · Total: 44
34-10
@ New York Jets
Oct 14, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Houston Texans
Oct 6, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23