Final Score: Commanders 13 - Dolphins 16
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 9:30 AM ET
Commanders vs Dolphins
(Neutral venue) NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Commanders | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 6 | 10 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 16.6 | 19.8 |
| Last meeting | 15 | 45 |
| Stat | Commanders | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 10 | 10 |
| Avg points scored | 22.3 | 21.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 28.0 | 25.6 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 30% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 20% | 40% |
Recent Results
Commanders
vs Detroit Lions
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 66
22-44
vs Seattle Seahawks
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 52
14-38
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Oct 27, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 35
7-28
@ Dallas Cowboys
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 66
22-44
vs Chicago Bears
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 49
24-25
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 37
27-10
@ Atlanta Falcons
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 61
27-34
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 65
41-24
@ Green Bay Packers
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 45
18-27
vs New York Giants
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 27
21-6
Dolphins
vs Buffalo Bills
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 43
30-13
vs Baltimore Ravens
Oct 30, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 34
6-28
@ Atlanta Falcons
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 44
34-10
@ Cleveland Browns
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -25 · Total: 37
6-31
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 56
27-29
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
vs New York Jets
Sep 29, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 48
27-21
@ Buffalo Bills
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 52
21-31
vs New England Patriots
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 60
27-33
@ Indianapolis Colts
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -25 · Total: 41
8-33