Final Score: Chargers 29 - Dolphins 27
Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Chargers @ Dolphins
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Chargers | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 13 | 19 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 21.3 | 24.0 |
| Last meeting | 34 | 36 |
| Stat | Chargers | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 5 | 5 |
| Avg points scored | 19.6 | 21.4 |
| Avg points conceded | 19.6 | 29.0 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 20% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 50% |
Recent Results
Chargers
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 37
10-27
@ New York Giants
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 39
18-21
vs Denver Broncos
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 29
20-9
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 48
27-21
@ Houston Texans
Jan 11, 2025 · Margin: -20 · Total: 44
12-32
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 54
34-20
@ New England Patriots
Dec 28, 2024 · Margin: +33 · Total: 47
40-7
vs Denver Broncos
Dec 19, 2024 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -23 · Total: 57
17-40
Dolphins
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
vs New York Jets
Sep 29, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 48
27-21
@ Buffalo Bills
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 52
21-31
vs New England Patriots
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 60
27-33
@ Indianapolis Colts
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -25 · Total: 41
8-33
@ New York Jets
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 52
20-32
@ Cleveland Browns
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +17 · Total: 23
20-3
vs San Francisco 49ers
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +12 · Total: 46
29-17
@ Houston Texans
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -8 · Total: 32
12-20
vs New York Jets
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 58
32-26