Final Score: Colts 38 - Chargers 24
Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET
Colts @ Chargers
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Colts | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 11 | 20 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 17.8 | 23.8 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 20 |
| Stat | Colts | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 6 | 6 |
| Avg points scored | 32.3 | 21.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 19.3 | 20.8 |
| Win percentage | 83% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 67% |
Recent Results
Colts
vs Arizona Cardinals
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 58
31-27
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +34 · Total: 46
40-6
@ Los Angeles Rams
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 47
20-27
@ Tennessee Titans
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 61
41-20
vs Denver Broncos
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 57
29-28
vs Miami Dolphins
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +25 · Total: 41
33-8
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 49
26-23
@ New York Giants
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: -12 · Total: 78
33-45
vs Tennessee Titans
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +8 · Total: 68
38-30
@ Denver Broncos
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -18 · Total: 44
13-31
Chargers
@ Miami Dolphins
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 56
29-27
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 37
10-27
@ New York Giants
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 39
18-21
vs Denver Broncos
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 29
20-9
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 48
27-21
@ Houston Texans
Jan 11, 2025 · Margin: -20 · Total: 44
12-32
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 54
34-20
@ New England Patriots
Dec 28, 2024 · Margin: +33 · Total: 47
40-7
vs Denver Broncos
Dec 19, 2024 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27