Chargers @ Bills
Chargers
Model Probability
Bills
Buffalo Bills +10.4
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | 26–14 | Raiders +12 | Chargers +8.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 13, 2026 | 26–14 | Cardinals +12 | Chargers +8.8 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers Raiders | 51-61-3 | 45.5% | -5.6 | 115 |
| Chargers Broncos | 43-69-3 | 38.4% | -6.5 | 115 |
| Chargers Chiefs | 51-61-2 | 45.5% | -0.3 | 114 |
| Chargers Seahawks | 25-27-1 | 48.1% | -1.2 | 53 |
| Chargers Steelers | 12-25 | 32.4% | -2.8 | 37 |