Chargers @ Bills

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Chargers 16 - Bills 24
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles
Chargers
0-2 Rating 1456
Form: LLLLL
16 – 24
Model Probability
19%
81%
Projected margin: Buffalo Bills +10.4
Buffalo
Bills
2-0 Rating 1688
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Chargers Bills
All-time wins 15 7
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 26.8 17.3
Last meeting 22 24

Key Season Stats

Stat Chargers Bills
Games played 2 2
Avg points scored 14.0 38.5
Avg points conceded 26.0 31.0
Win percentage 0% 100%
Away win % / Home win % - 100%