Final Score: Texans 20 - Chargers 16
Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 4:30 PM ET
Texans @ Chargers
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Texans | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 22.4 | 25.9 |
| Last meeting | 32 | 12 |
| Stat | Texans | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 15 | 15 |
| Avg points scored | 23.1 | 23.3 |
| Avg points conceded | 16.6 | 20.1 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 73% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 75% |
Recent Results
Texans
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 44
23-21
vs Arizona Cardinals
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 60
40-20
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 30
20-10
@ Indianapolis Colts
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 36
20-16
vs Buffalo Bills
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 42
23-19
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 65
36-29
vs Denver Broncos
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 33
15-18
vs San Francisco 49ers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 41
26-15
@ Seattle Seahawks
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 46
19-27
Chargers
@ Dallas Cowboys
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 51
34-17
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 41
22-19
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 45
31-14
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -29 · Total: 41
6-35
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 35
25-10
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 47
27-20
vs Minnesota Vikings
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: +27 · Total: 47
37-10
vs Indianapolis Colts
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 62
24-38
@ Miami Dolphins
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 56
29-27