Final Score: Bills 19 - Texans 23
Thursday, November 20, 2025 at 8:15 PM ET
Bills @ Texans
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bills | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 20.4 | 18.8 |
| Last meeting | 20 | 23 |
| Stat | Bills | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 10 | 10 |
| Avg points scored | 29.2 | 22.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.9 | 16.3 |
| Win percentage | 70% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 60% |
Recent Results
Bills
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 76
44-32
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 43
13-30
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 49
28-21
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 49
40-9
@ Atlanta Falcons
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 38
14-24
vs New England Patriots
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs New Orleans Saints
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 50
31-19
vs Miami Dolphins
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 52
31-21
@ New York Jets
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 40
30-10
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 81
41-40
Texans
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 65
36-29
vs Denver Broncos
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 33
15-18
vs San Francisco 49ers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 41
26-15
@ Seattle Seahawks
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 46
19-27
@ Baltimore Ravens
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +34 · Total: 54
44-10
vs Tennessee Titans
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +26 · Total: 26
26-0
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 27
10-17
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 39
19-20
@ Los Angeles Rams
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 23
9-14