Final Score: Jaguars 29 - Texans 36
Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Jaguars @ Texans
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Jaguars | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 31 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 19.2 | 22.1 |
| Last meeting | 17 | 10 |
| Stat | Jaguars | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 8 | 8 |
| Avg points scored | 22.0 | 21.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 23.0 | 15.1 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 38% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 67% | 50% |
Recent Results
Jaguars
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 59
30-29
vs Los Angeles Rams
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -28 · Total: 42
7-35
vs Seattle Seahawks
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 32
12-20
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Oct 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 59
31-28
@ San Francisco 49ers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 47
26-21
vs Houston Texans
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 27
17-10
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 58
27-31
vs Carolina Panthers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +16 · Total: 36
26-10
@ Indianapolis Colts
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 49
23-26
vs Tennessee Titans
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +7 · Total: 33
20-13
Texans
vs Denver Broncos
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 33
15-18
vs San Francisco 49ers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 41
26-15
@ Seattle Seahawks
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 46
19-27
@ Baltimore Ravens
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +34 · Total: 54
44-10
vs Tennessee Titans
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +26 · Total: 26
26-0
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 27
10-17
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 39
19-20
@ Los Angeles Rams
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 23
9-14
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 37
14-23
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Jan 11, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 44
32-12