Final Score: Jaguars 26 - 49ers 21
Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET
Jaguars @ 49ers
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Jaguars | 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 2 | 5 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average points | 15.7 | 26.0 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 34 |
| Stat | Jaguars | 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 3 | 3 |
| Avg points scored | 23.3 | 19.7 |
| Avg points conceded | 17.0 | 16.3 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 100% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 0% | 100% |
Recent Results
Jaguars
vs Houston Texans
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 27
17-10
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 58
27-31
vs Carolina Panthers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +16 · Total: 36
26-10
@ Indianapolis Colts
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 49
23-26
vs Tennessee Titans
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +7 · Total: 33
20-13
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: -5 · Total: 33
14-19
vs New York Jets
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -7 · Total: 57
25-32
@ Tennessee Titans
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Houston Texans
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
@ Detroit Lions
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: -46 · Total: 58
6-52
49ers
vs Arizona Cardinals
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 31
16-15
@ New Orleans Saints
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 47
26-21
@ Seattle Seahawks
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 30
17-13
@ Arizona Cardinals
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -23 · Total: 71
24-47
vs Detroit Lions
Dec 30, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 74
34-40
@ Miami Dolphins
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: -12 · Total: 46
17-29
vs Los Angeles Rams
Dec 12, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 18
6-12
vs Chicago Bears
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: +25 · Total: 51
38-13
@ Buffalo Bills
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: -25 · Total: 45
10-35
@ Green Bay Packers
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: -28 · Total: 48
10-38