Final Score: Buccaneers 32 - Bills 44
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Buccaneers @ Bills
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Buccaneers | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 22.5 | 18.2 |
| Last meeting | 18 | 24 |
| Stat | Buccaneers | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 9 | 9 |
| Avg points scored | 24.4 | 27.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.9 | 21.9 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 80% | 80% |
Recent Results
Buccaneers
vs New England Patriots
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 51
23-28
@ New Orleans Saints
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 26
23-3
@ Detroit Lions
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 33
9-24
vs San Francisco 49ers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 49
30-19
@ Seattle Seahawks
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 73
38-35
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 56
25-31
vs New York Jets
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 56
29-27
@ Houston Texans
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 39
20-19
@ Atlanta Falcons
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
vs Washington Commanders
Jan 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
Bills
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 43
13-30
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 49
28-21
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 49
40-9
@ Atlanta Falcons
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 38
14-24
vs New England Patriots
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs New Orleans Saints
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 50
31-19
vs Miami Dolphins
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 52
31-21
@ New York Jets
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 40
30-10
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 81
41-40
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 61
29-32