Final Score: Patriots 28 - Buccaneers 23
Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Patriots @ Buccaneers
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 7 | 3 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 21.8 | 12.6 |
| Last meeting | 17 | 19 |
| Stat | Patriots | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 9 | 8 |
| Avg points scored | 26.3 | 24.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 18.8 | 22.2 |
| Win percentage | 78% | 75% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 100% | 67% |
Recent Results
Patriots
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 47
24-23
vs Cleveland Browns
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 45
32-13
@ Tennessee Titans
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 44
31-13
@ New Orleans Saints
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 44
25-19
@ Buffalo Bills
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
vs Carolina Panthers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +29 · Total: 55
42-13
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 35
14-21
@ Miami Dolphins
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 60
33-27
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 33
13-20
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 39
23-16
Buccaneers
@ New Orleans Saints
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 26
23-3
@ Detroit Lions
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 33
9-24
vs San Francisco 49ers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 49
30-19
@ Seattle Seahawks
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 73
38-35
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 56
25-31
vs New York Jets
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 56
29-27
@ Houston Texans
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 39
20-19
@ Atlanta Falcons
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
vs Washington Commanders
Jan 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs New Orleans Saints
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 46
27-19