Final Score: Panthers 13 - Patriots 42
Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Panthers @ Patriots
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Panthers | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 19.4 | 24.8 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 24 |
| Stat | Panthers | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 3 | 3 |
| Avg points scored | 20.7 | 20.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 17.7 | 22.7 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 33% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 0% | 0% |
Recent Results
Panthers
vs Atlanta Falcons
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +30 · Total: 30
30-0
@ Arizona Cardinals
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 49
22-27
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 36
10-26
@ Atlanta Falcons
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 82
44-38
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: -34 · Total: 62
14-48
vs Arizona Cardinals
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 66
36-30
vs Dallas Cowboys
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -16 · Total: 44
14-30
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 38
16-22
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 49
23-26
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 57
27-30
Patriots
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 35
14-21
@ Miami Dolphins
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 60
33-27
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 33
13-20
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 39
23-16
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 28, 2024 · Margin: -33 · Total: 47
7-40
@ Buffalo Bills
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 45
21-24
@ Arizona Cardinals
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -13 · Total: 47
17-30
vs Indianapolis Colts
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 49
24-25
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: -19 · Total: 49
15-34
vs Los Angeles Rams
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 50
22-28