Final Score: Chargers 3 - Patriots 16
Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET
Chargers @ Patriots
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Chargers | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 6 | 20 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 19.1 | 26.0 |
| Last meeting | 40 | 7 |
| Stat | Chargers | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 17 | 17 |
| Avg points scored | 21.6 | 28.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 20.0 | 18.8 |
| Win percentage | 65% | 82% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 67% |
Recent Results
Chargers
@ Denver Broncos
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -16 · Total: 22
3-19
vs Houston Texans
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 36
16-20
@ Dallas Cowboys
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 51
34-17
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 41
22-19
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 45
31-14
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -29 · Total: 41
6-35
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 35
25-10
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 47
27-20
vs Minnesota Vikings
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: +27 · Total: 47
37-10
Patriots
vs Miami Dolphins
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +28 · Total: 48
38-10
@ New York Jets
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +32 · Total: 52
42-10
@ Baltimore Ravens
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 52
28-24
vs Buffalo Bills
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 66
31-35
vs New York Giants
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 48
33-15
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 46
26-20
vs New York Jets
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 41
27-14
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 51
28-23
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 47
24-23
vs Cleveland Browns
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 45
32-13