Final Score: Patriots 26 - Bengals 20
Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Patriots @ Bengals
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 10 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 20.5 | 20.6 |
| Last meeting | 16 | 10 |
| Stat | Patriots | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 11 | 10 |
| Avg points scored | 26.5 | 22.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 18.7 | 33.4 |
| Win percentage | 82% | 30% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 100% | 40% |
Recent Results
Patriots
vs New York Jets
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 41
27-14
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 51
28-23
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 47
24-23
vs Cleveland Browns
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 45
32-13
@ Tennessee Titans
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 44
31-13
@ New Orleans Saints
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 44
25-19
@ Buffalo Bills
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
vs Carolina Panthers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +29 · Total: 55
42-13
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 35
14-21
@ Miami Dolphins
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 60
33-27
Bengals
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 46
12-34
vs Chicago Bears
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 89
42-47
vs New York Jets
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 77
38-39
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Oct 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 64
33-31
@ Green Bay Packers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 45
18-27
vs Detroit Lions
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 61
24-37
@ Denver Broncos
Sep 29, 2025 · Margin: -25 · Total: 31
3-28
@ Minnesota Vikings
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -38 · Total: 58
10-48
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 58
31-27
@ Cleveland Browns
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 33
17-16