Final Score: Bills 30 - Broncos 33
Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET
Bills @ Broncos
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bills | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 13 | 12 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 21.2 | 19.5 |
| Last meeting | 31 | 7 |
| Stat | Bills | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 18 | 17 |
| Avg points scored | 28.2 | 23.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 21.6 | 18.3 |
| Win percentage | 72% | 82% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 67% | 89% |
Recent Results
Bills
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 51
27-24
vs New York Jets
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +27 · Total: 43
35-8
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 25
12-13
@ Cleveland Browns
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ New England Patriots
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 66
35-31
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 73
39-34
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 33
26-7
@ Houston Texans
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 42
19-23
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 76
44-32
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 43
13-30
Broncos
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 22
19-3
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 33
20-13
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 54
20-34
vs Green Bay Packers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 60
34-26
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 41
24-17
@ Washington Commanders
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 53
27-26
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 41
22-19
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
@ Houston Texans
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 33
18-15
vs Dallas Cowboys
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 68
44-24