Broncos @ Chargers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Broncos 23 - Chargers 17
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET
Denver
Broncos
2-2 Rating 1609
Form: LLWWL
23 – 17
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Denver Broncos +2.3
Los Angeles
Chargers
0-4 Rating 1440
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Broncos Chargers
All-time wins 69 43
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 21.1 19.4
Last meeting 19 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Broncos Chargers
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 18.5 16.8
Avg points conceded 23.5 26.5
Win percentage 50% 0%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 0%