Broncos @ 49ers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Broncos 14 - 49ers 24
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
Denver
Broncos
2-1 Rating 1629
Form: WLLWW
14 – 24
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Francisco 49ers +2.7
San Francisco
49ers
3-0 Rating 1625
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Broncos 49ers
All-time wins 8 8
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 22.3 24.0
Last meeting 11 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Broncos 49ers
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 20.0 32.7
Avg points conceded 23.3 16.7
Win percentage 67% 100%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%