Final Score: Buccaneers 17 - Dolphins 20
Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Buccaneers @ Dolphins
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Buccaneers | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 25.3 | 21.6 |
| Last meeting | 45 | 17 |
| Stat | Buccaneers | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 15 | 15 |
| Avg points scored | 23.1 | 21.1 |
| Avg points conceded | 25.1 | 24.6 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 50% |
Recent Results
Buccaneers
@ Carolina Panthers
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs Atlanta Falcons
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 57
28-29
vs New Orleans Saints
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 44
20-24
vs Arizona Cardinals
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 37
20-17
@ Los Angeles Rams
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -27 · Total: 41
7-34
@ Buffalo Bills
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 76
32-44
vs New England Patriots
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 51
23-28
@ New Orleans Saints
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 26
23-3
@ Detroit Lions
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 33
9-24
vs San Francisco 49ers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 49
30-19
Dolphins
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 66
21-45
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 43
15-28
@ New York Jets
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 44
34-10
vs New Orleans Saints
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 38
21-17
vs Washington Commanders
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs Buffalo Bills
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 43
30-13
vs Baltimore Ravens
Oct 30, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 34
6-28
@ Atlanta Falcons
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 44
34-10
@ Cleveland Browns
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -25 · Total: 37
6-31
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 56
27-29