Final Score: Dolphins 15 - Steelers 28
Monday, December 15, 2025 at 8:15 PM ET
Dolphins @ Steelers
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Dolphins | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 14 | 15 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 20.7 | 20.1 |
| Last meeting | 16 | 10 |
| Stat | Dolphins | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 13 | 13 |
| Avg points scored | 21.6 | 23.7 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.8 | 23.9 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 57% |
Recent Results
Dolphins
@ New York Jets
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 44
34-10
vs New Orleans Saints
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 38
21-17
vs Washington Commanders
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs Buffalo Bills
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 43
30-13
vs Baltimore Ravens
Oct 30, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 34
6-28
@ Atlanta Falcons
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 44
34-10
@ Cleveland Browns
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -25 · Total: 37
6-31
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 56
27-29
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
vs New York Jets
Sep 29, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 48
27-21
Steelers
@ Baltimore Ravens
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 49
27-22
vs Buffalo Bills
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -19 · Total: 33
7-26
@ Chicago Bears
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 46
34-12
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 35
10-25
vs Indianapolis Colts
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 47
27-20
vs Green Bay Packers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 60
25-35
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Oct 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 64
31-33
vs Cleveland Browns
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 32
23-9
vs Minnesota Vikings
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 45
24-21